Copa Federacion · Thursday, 01 Oct 2026
UD Santa Marta
Home
1-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Salamanca UDS
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.04
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.86 - 0.54
Win probability
Home
90%
Draw
6%
Away
2%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
90%
1.04
Double Chance
Home/Draw
96%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
81%
1.16
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
81%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.4
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
UD Santa Marta wins
0
Draws
0
Salamanca UDS wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
95%
Recent form
80%
60%
Attack
80%
86%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
90%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
UD Santa Marta
last 4 at home
4W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
1.75
scored a game
0.25
conceded a game
Salamanca UDS
last 5 away from home
2W
0D
3L
1.20
points a game
1.80
scored a game
2.60
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| UD Santa Marta | Salamanca UDS | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 4/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/7 71% |
| 50% 3/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/7 71% |
| 0% 0/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/7 57% |
| 50% 3/6 | Both teams scored | 4/7 57% |
| 50% 3/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/7 14% |
| 0% 0/6 | Failed to score | 2/7 29% |
At half time
UD Santa Marta
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
33%
Behind
17%
Salamanca UDS
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
14%
Level
43%
Behind
43%
Match Preview & Analysis
UD Santa Marta face Salamanca UDS in Copa Federacion. UD Santa Marta have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 2 (3 points per game). Salamanca UDS have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 8 (2.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 81% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 90% probability backing UD Santa Marta, home advantage and superior chance creation make UD Santa Marta to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 90% win probability for UD Santa Marta, a 6% chance of a draw, and a 2% probability for Salamanca UDS. Our top recommended betting pick is UD Santa Marta Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.4 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Thursday, 01 Oct 2026 at 17:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Copa Federacion.
