UEFA Nations League · Thursday, 01 Oct 2026
Wales
Home
2-1
Full time
Cardiff City Stadium
Norway
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Home/Away
60%
1.57
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Wales wins
0
Draws
0
Norway wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
5%
Recent form
60%
5%
Attack
66%
66%
Defence
26%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Wales
last 0 at home
No at home games on record yet.
Norway
last 1 away from home
1W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| Wales | Norway | |
|---|---|---|
| 0% 0/1 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/5 100% |
| 0% 0/1 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/5 100% |
| 0% 0/1 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/5 60% |
| 0% 0/1 | Both teams scored | 5/5 100% |
| 0% 0/1 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/5 0% |
| 100% 1/1 | Failed to score | 0/5 0% |
At half time
Wales
from 1 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
0%
Behind
100%
Norway
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
40%
Behind
20%
Match Preview & Analysis
Wales face Norway in UEFA Nations League. Wales have won 0, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 1 games, scoring 0 and conceding 1 (0 points per game). Norway have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 11 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Wales, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Norway. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Thursday, 01 Oct 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at Cardiff City Stadium as part of the UEFA Nations League.
