Primera B · Thursday, 01 Oct 2026
Envigado
Home
0-0
Full time
Estadio Polideportivo Sur
Orsomarso
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.62
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.09 - 0.83
Win probability
Home
58%
Draw
27%
Away
15%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
58%
1.62
Double Chance
Home/Draw
85%
1.11
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.42
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
65%
1.45
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
34%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.92
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Envigado wins
0
Draws
0
Orsomarso wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
26%
26%
Attack
13%
60%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
58%
Win probability
15%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Env Envigado | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 13 | Ors Orsomarso | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 10 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Envigado face Orsomarso in Primera B. Envigado have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 6 (0.6 points per game). Orsomarso have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 2 and conceding 5 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 34% and Both Teams to Score at 35%.
With a 58% probability backing Envigado, home advantage and superior chance creation make Envigado to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 58% win probability for Envigado, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 15% probability for Orsomarso. Our top recommended betting pick is Envigado Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.92 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 35%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Thursday, 01 Oct 2026 at 20:30 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Polideportivo Sur as part of the Primera B.
