Primera Division · Friday, 02 Oct 2026
Inca Aruba
Home
2-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Municipal Limeño
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.65
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.11 - 1.75
Win probability
Home
17%
Draw
26%
Away
57%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
57%
1.65
Double Chance
Draw/Away
83%
1.13
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.86
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Inca Aruba wins
0
Draws
0
Municipal Limeño wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
66%
40%
Attack
60%
66%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
17%
Win probability
57%
Home and away record
Inca Aruba
last 5 at home
2W
2D
1L
1.60
points a game
0.80
scored a game
1.20
conceded a game
Municipal Limeño
last 6 away from home
3W
0D
3L
1.50
points a game
1.67
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Inca Aruba | Municipal Limeño | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 6/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 44% 4/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 33% 3/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 44% 4/9 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 33% 3/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 33% 3/9 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Inca Aruba
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
11%
Level
44%
Behind
44%
Municipal Limeño
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
40%
Behind
20%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 |
Municipal Limeño |
20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | -1 | 23 |
| 11 |
Inca Aruba |
19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -19 | 17 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Inca Aruba face Municipal Limeño in Primera Division. Inca Aruba have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 5 (2 points per game). Municipal Limeño have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 4 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Municipal Limeño's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 57% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Municipal Limeño to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 17% win probability for Inca Aruba, a 26% chance of a draw, and a 57% probability for Municipal Limeño. Our top recommended betting pick is Municipal Limeño Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.86 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 02 Oct 2026 at 00:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Primera Division.
