Major League Soccer · Friday, 02 Oct 2026
Seattle Sounders
Home
2-1
Full time
Lumen Field
Sporting Kansas City
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.21
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.57 - 0.7
Win probability
Home
78%
Draw
13%
Away
9%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
78%
1.21
Double Chance
Home/Draw
91%
1.03
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
78%
1.21
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
78%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.27
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Seattle Sounders wins
0
Draws
0
Sporting Kansas City wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
20%
53%
Attack
66%
60%
Defence
6%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
78%
Win probability
9%
Home and away record
Seattle Sounders
last 8 at home
2W
2D
4L
1.00
points a game
1.25
scored a game
1.63
conceded a game
Sporting Kansas City
last 5 away from home
0W
0D
5L
0.00
points a game
1.20
scored a game
3.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Seattle Sounders | Sporting Kansas City | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 10/10 100% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/10 0% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 4/10 40% |
At half time
Seattle Sounders
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
50%
Behind
30%
Sporting Kansas City
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
20%
Behind
50%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 |
Seattle Sounders |
34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 46 |
| 15 |
Sporting Kansas City |
34 | 7 | 5 | 22 | -41 | 26 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Seattle Sounders face Sporting Kansas City in Major League Soccer. Seattle Sounders have won 1, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 6 (1.4 points per game). Sporting Kansas City have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 14 (0.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 78% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 78% probability backing Seattle Sounders, home advantage and superior chance creation make Seattle Sounders to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 78% win probability for Seattle Sounders, a 13% chance of a draw, and a 9% probability for Sporting Kansas City. Our top recommended betting pick is Seattle Sounders Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.27 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 02 Oct 2026 at 01:30 (East Africa Time) at Lumen Field as part of the Major League Soccer.
