Persha Liga · Friday, 02 Oct 2026
SK Poltava
Home
3-2
Full time
Lokomotyv Stadium
Chernihiv
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.54
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.16 - 0.81
Win probability
Home
61%
Draw
26%
Away
14%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
61%
1.54
Double Chance
Home/Draw
87%
1.08
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.42
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
66%
1.42
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
34%
Over 2.5
34%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.97
Avg goals
Get this match's pick on WhatsApp
Tap, hit send and the bot replies in seconds with the SK Poltava v Chernihiv pick. One VIP pick a week is free.
Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
SK Poltava wins
0
Draws
0
Chernihiv wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
46%
33%
Attack
46%
86%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
61%
Win probability
14%
Home and away record
SK Poltava
last 4 at home
1W
3D
0L
1.50
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.25
conceded a game
Chernihiv
last 7 away from home
1W
3D
3L
0.86
points a game
1.29
scored a game
1.57
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| SK Poltava | Chernihiv | |
|---|---|---|
| 56% 5/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 44% 4/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 0% 0/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 22% 2/9 | Both teams scored | 8/10 80% |
| 78% 7/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 33% 3/9 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
SK Poltava
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
56%
Behind
11%
Chernihiv
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
44%
Behind
22%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 |
SK Poltava |
15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | +11 | 24 |
| 15 |
Chernihiv |
12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -6 | 10 |
Match Preview & Analysis
SK Poltava face Chernihiv in Persha Liga. SK Poltava have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 2 (1.6 points per game). Chernihiv have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 7 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 34% and Both Teams to Score at 34%.
With a 61% probability backing SK Poltava, home advantage and superior chance creation make SK Poltava to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 61% win probability for SK Poltava, a 26% chance of a draw, and a 14% probability for Chernihiv. Our top recommended betting pick is SK Poltava Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.97 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 34%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 02 Oct 2026 at 11:00 (East Africa Time) at Lokomotyv Stadium as part of the Persha Liga.
