Copa Venezuela · Wednesday, 14 Oct 2026
Aragua FC
Home
3-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Caracas FC
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.81
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.97 - 1.07
Win probability
Home
53%
Draw
22%
Away
26%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
52%
1.81
Double Chance
Home/Draw
75%
1.25
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
61%
1.54
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
59%
1.59
Over 1.5 Goals
Over 1.5
72%
1.31
Goals & trends
61%
Over 2.5
59%
BTTS
72%
Over 1.5
3.04
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Aragua FC wins
1
Draws
0
Caracas FC wins
24 Jun 2026
Caracas FC
1 - 1
Aragua FC
Why this prediction
86%
Recent form
46%
95%
Attack
40%
66%
Defence
60%
5%
Head-to-head
5%
53%
Win probability
26%
Home and away record
Aragua FC
last 5 at home
3W
0D
2L
1.80
points a game
1.40
scored a game
0.80
conceded a game
Caracas FC
last 8 away from home
4W
2D
2L
1.75
points a game
1.50
scored a game
1.13
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Aragua FC | Caracas FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Aragua FC
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
30%
Behind
40%
Caracas FC
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
30%
Behind
20%
Match Preview & Analysis
Aragua FC face Caracas FC in Copa Venezuela. Aragua FC have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 15 and conceding 5 (2.6 points per game). Caracas FC have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 6 (1.4 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Aragua FC won 0, Caracas FC won 0 and 1 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 61% and Both Teams to Score at 59%.
With a 53% probability backing Aragua FC, home advantage and superior chance creation make Aragua FC to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 53% win probability for Aragua FC, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 26% probability for Caracas FC. Our top recommended betting pick is Aragua FC Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.04 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 59% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Wednesday, 14 Oct 2026 at 19:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Copa Venezuela.
