Serie D · Sunday, 12 Jul 2026
ASA
Home
4-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Ivinhema
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.12
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.72 - 0.59
Win probability
Home
84%
Draw
12%
Away
4%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
84%
1.12
Double Chance
Home/Draw
96%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
70%
1.34
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
30%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.31
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
ASA wins
0
Draws
0
Ivinhema wins
07 Jul 2026
Ivinhema
1 - 2
ASA
Why this prediction
77%
Recent form
44%
44%
Attack
55%
77%
Defence
55%
95%
Head-to-head
5%
84%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
ASA
last 1 at home
0W
1D
0L
1.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Ivinhema
last 1 away from home
0W
1D
0L
1.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
3 matches.
| ASA | Ivinhema | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 2/3 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/3 100% |
| 33% 1/3 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/3 67% |
| 0% 0/3 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/3 33% |
| 67% 2/3 | Both teams scored | 3/3 100% |
| 33% 1/3 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/3 0% |
| 0% 0/3 | Failed to score | 0/3 0% |
At half time
ASA
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
0%
Behind
67%
Ivinhema
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
67%
Level
33%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
ASA face Ivinhema in Serie D. ASA have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 3 games, scoring 4 and conceding 2 (2.33 points per game). Ivinhema have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 3 games, scoring 5 and conceding 4 (1.33 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, ASA won 1, Ivinhema won 0 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 30%.
With a 84% probability backing ASA, home advantage and superior chance creation make ASA to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 84% win probability for ASA, a 12% chance of a draw, and a 4% probability for Ivinhema. Our top recommended betting pick is ASA Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.31 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 30%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 12 Jul 2026 at 20:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Serie D.
