FAW Championship · Friday, 02 Oct 2026
Carmarthen Town
Home
1-2
Full time
Richmond Park
Llantwit Major
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.04
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.86 - 0.54
Win probability
Home
90%
Draw
4%
Away
2%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
90%
1.04
Double Chance
Home/Draw
94%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
85%
1.11
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
85%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.4
Avg goals
Get this match's pick on WhatsApp
Tap, hit send and the bot replies in seconds with the Carmarthen Town v Llantwit Major pick. One VIP pick a week is free.
Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Carmarthen Town wins
0
Draws
0
Llantwit Major wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
6%
73%
Attack
13%
20%
Defence
5%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
90%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Carmarthen Town
last 5 at home
2W
1D
2L
1.40
points a game
2.60
scored a game
2.60
conceded a game
Llantwit Major
last 3 away from home
0W
1D
2L
0.33
points a game
0.67
scored a game
3.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Carmarthen Town | Llantwit Major | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 7/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/5 80% |
| 100% 7/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/5 60% |
| 86% 6/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/5 40% |
| 100% 7/7 | Both teams scored | 2/5 40% |
| 0% 0/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/5 0% |
| 0% 0/7 | Failed to score | 3/5 60% |
At half time
Carmarthen Town
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
29%
Level
43%
Behind
29%
Llantwit Major
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
20%
Behind
80%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 |
Carmarthen Town |
12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 |
Llantwit Major |
11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 11 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Carmarthen Town face Llantwit Major in FAW Championship. Carmarthen Town have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 12 (1 points per game). Llantwit Major have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 2 and conceding 15 (0.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 85% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 90% probability backing Carmarthen Town, home advantage and superior chance creation make Carmarthen Town to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 90% win probability for Carmarthen Town, a 4% chance of a draw, and a 2% probability for Llantwit Major. Our top recommended betting pick is Carmarthen Town Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.4 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 02 Oct 2026 at 18:30 (East Africa Time) at Richmond Park as part of the FAW Championship.
