Paulista Série B · Sunday, 12 Jul 2026
Sporting Paulinense
Home
0-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Independente SP
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.03
Predicted score
0 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.75 - 2.5
Win probability
Home
2%
Draw
6%
Away
91%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
91%
1.03
Double Chance
Draw/Away
97%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
74%
1.27
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
67%
1.40
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
74%
Over 2.5
33%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.25
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Sporting Paulinense wins
0
Draws
0
Independente SP wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
95%
Recent form
95%
50%
Attack
66%
95%
Defence
95%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
5%
Win probability
91%
Home and away record
Sporting Paulinense
last 1 at home
1W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Independente SP
last 1 away from home
1W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
2 matches.
| Sporting Paulinense | Independente SP | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 1/2 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/2 100% |
| 0% 0/2 | Over 2.5 goals | 0/2 0% |
| 0% 0/2 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/2 0% |
| 0% 0/2 | Both teams scored | 0/2 0% |
| 100% 2/2 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/2 100% |
| 0% 0/2 | Failed to score | 0/2 0% |
At half time
Sporting Paulinense
from 2 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
50%
Behind
0%
Independente SP
from 2 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
100%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
Sporting Paulinense face Independente SP in Paulista Série B. Sporting Paulinense have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 2 games, scoring 3 and conceding 0 (3 points per game). Independente SP have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 2 games, scoring 4 and conceding 0 (3 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 74% and Both Teams to Score at 33%.
Independente SP's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 91% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Independente SP to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 0-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 2% win probability for Sporting Paulinense, a 6% chance of a draw, and a 91% probability for Independente SP. Our top recommended betting pick is Independente SP Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 0 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.25 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 33%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 12 Jul 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Paulista Série B.
