FAW Championship · Friday, 02 Oct 2026
llanelli AFC
Home
1-2
Full time
Stebonheath Park
Baglan Dragons
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.77
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.06 - 1.67
Win probability
Home
15%
Draw
31%
Away
53%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
53%
1.77
Double Chance
Draw/Away
84%
1.12
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
76%
1.24
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
73%
1.29
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
24%
Over 2.5
27%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.73
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
llanelli AFC wins
0
Draws
0
Baglan Dragons wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
6%
Recent form
60%
26%
Attack
46%
5%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
15%
Win probability
53%
Home and away record
llanelli AFC
last 4 at home
0W
2D
2L
0.50
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.25
conceded a game
Baglan Dragons
last 4 away from home
2W
1D
1L
1.75
points a game
0.75
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| llanelli AFC | Baglan Dragons | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 8/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/8 50% |
| 75% 6/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/8 50% |
| 50% 4/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/8 13% |
| 50% 4/8 | Both teams scored | 3/8 38% |
| 0% 0/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/8 38% |
| 50% 4/8 | Failed to score | 3/8 38% |
At half time
llanelli AFC
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
25%
Level
0%
Behind
75%
Baglan Dragons
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
38%
Level
50%
Behind
13%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 |
Baglan Dragons |
12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -1 | 17 |
| 16 |
llanelli AFC |
13 | 0 | 2 | 11 | -31 | 2 |
Match Preview & Analysis
llanelli AFC face Baglan Dragons in FAW Championship. llanelli AFC have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 15 (0.2 points per game). Baglan Dragons have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 5 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 24% and Both Teams to Score at 27%.
Baglan Dragons's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 53% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Baglan Dragons to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 15% win probability for llanelli AFC, a 31% chance of a draw, and a 53% probability for Baglan Dragons. Our top recommended betting pick is Baglan Dragons Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.73 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 27%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 02 Oct 2026 at 18:30 (East Africa Time) at Stebonheath Park as part of the FAW Championship.
