FAW Championship · Friday, 02 Oct 2026
llanelli AFC
Home
1-2
Full time
Stebonheath Park
Baglan Dragons
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.77
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.06 - 1.67
Win probability
Home
15%
Draw
31%
Away
53%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
53%
1.77
Double Chance
Draw/Away
84%
1.12
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
76%
1.24
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
73%
1.29
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
24%
Over 2.5
27%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.73
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
llanelli AFC wins
0
Draws
0
Baglan Dragons wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
6%
Recent form
60%
20%
Attack
33%
13%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
15%
Win probability
53%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bag Baglan Dragons | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 16 |
| 16 | lla llanelli AFC | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -20 | 2 |
Match Preview & Analysis
llanelli AFC face Baglan Dragons in FAW Championship. llanelli AFC have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 13 (0.2 points per game). Baglan Dragons have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 6 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 24% and Both Teams to Score at 27%.
Baglan Dragons's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 53% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Baglan Dragons to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 15% win probability for llanelli AFC, a 31% chance of a draw, and a 53% probability for Baglan Dragons. Our top recommended betting pick is Baglan Dragons Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.73 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 27%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 02 Oct 2026 at 18:30 (East Africa Time) at Stebonheath Park as part of the FAW Championship.
