First Division · Friday, 02 Oct 2026
Finn Harps
Home
1-2
Full time
Finn Park
Kerry
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.88
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.9 - 1.05
Win probability
Home
50%
Draw
25%
Away
25%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
50%
1.88
Double Chance
Home/Draw
75%
1.25
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.95
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Finn Harps wins
0
Draws
1
Kerry wins
24 Jul 2026
Kerry
2 - 1
Finn Harps
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
46%
53%
Attack
33%
26%
Defence
60%
5%
Head-to-head
95%
50%
Win probability
25%
Home and away record
Finn Harps
last 7 at home
1W
0D
6L
0.43
points a game
0.29
scored a game
1.43
conceded a game
Kerry
last 7 away from home
2W
1D
4L
1.00
points a game
1.29
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Finn Harps | Kerry | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 0% 0/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 60% 6/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Finn Harps
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
50%
Behind
40%
Kerry
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
10%
Behind
40%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 |
Kerry |
33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | +1 | 45 |
| 10 |
Finn Harps |
33 | 6 | 7 | 20 | -36 | 25 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Finn Harps face Kerry in First Division. Finn Harps have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 11 (0.6 points per game). Kerry have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 6 (1.4 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Finn Harps won 0, Kerry won 1 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 50% probability backing Finn Harps, home advantage and superior chance creation make Finn Harps to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 50% win probability for Finn Harps, a 25% chance of a draw, and a 25% probability for Kerry. Our top recommended betting pick is Finn Harps Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.95 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 02 Oct 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at Finn Park as part of the First Division.
