First Division · Friday, 02 Oct 2026
Treaty United
Home
0-4
Full time
Markets Field
UCD
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.14
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.76 - 1.18
Win probability
Home
44%
Draw
25%
Away
31%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
44%
2.14
Double Chance
Home/Draw
69%
1.36
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.94
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
Treaty United wins
0
Draws
1
UCD wins
03 Aug 2026
UCD
1 - 2
Treaty United
17 Jul 2026
Treaty United
1 - 2
UCD
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
40%
33%
Attack
66%
46%
Defence
13%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
44%
Win probability
31%
Home and away record
Treaty United
last 6 at home
2W
1D
3L
1.17
points a game
1.17
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
UCD
last 7 away from home
1W
3D
3L
0.86
points a game
0.86
scored a game
2.29
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Treaty United | UCD | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 9/10 90% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 40% 4/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Treaty United
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
30%
Behind
30%
UCD
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
60%
Behind
20%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
UCD |
33 | 14 | 7 | 12 | +9 | 49 |
| 9 |
Treaty United |
33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | -15 | 36 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Treaty United face UCD in First Division. Treaty United have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 8 (0.8 points per game). UCD have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 13 (1.2 points per game).
In their last 2 meetings on record, Treaty United won 1, UCD won 1 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 44% probability backing Treaty United, home advantage and superior chance creation make Treaty United to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 44% win probability for Treaty United, a 25% chance of a draw, and a 31% probability for UCD. Our top recommended betting pick is Treaty United Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.94 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 02 Oct 2026 at 21:45 (East Africa Time) at Markets Field as part of the First Division.
