UEFA Nations League · Friday, 02 Oct 2026
Belgium
Home
3-0
Full time
Stade Maurice Dufrasne
Türkiye
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.77
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.97 - 0.79
Win probability
Home
53%
Draw
34%
Away
13%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
53%
1.77
Double Chance
Home/Draw
87%
1.08
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
83%
1.13
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
80%
1.18
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
17%
Over 2.5
20%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.76
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Belgium wins
0
Draws
0
Türkiye wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
95%
80%
Attack
95%
73%
Defence
33%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
53%
Win probability
13%
Home and away record
Belgium
last 1 at home
0W
1D
0L
1.00
points a game
0.00
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Türkiye
last 0 away from home
No away from home games on record yet.
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| Belgium | Türkiye | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 4/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 1/1 100% |
| 60% 3/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/1 100% |
| 40% 2/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/1 100% |
| 60% 3/5 | Both teams scored | 1/1 100% |
| 40% 2/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/1 0% |
| 20% 1/5 | Failed to score | 0/1 0% |
At half time
Belgium
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
50%
Behind
0%
Türkiye
from 1 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
100%
Level
0%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
Belgium face Türkiye in UEFA Nations League. Belgium have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 4 (2 points per game). Türkiye have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 1 games, scoring 3 and conceding 2 (3 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 17% and Both Teams to Score at 20%.
With a 53% probability backing Belgium, home advantage and superior chance creation make Belgium to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 53% win probability for Belgium, a 34% chance of a draw, and a 13% probability for Türkiye. Our top recommended betting pick is Belgium Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.76 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 20%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 02 Oct 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at Stade Maurice Dufrasne as part of the UEFA Nations League.
