UEFA Nations League · Friday, 02 Oct 2026
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Home
1-1
Full time
Stadion Bilino Polje
Sweden
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.00
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.83 - 1.29
Win probability
Home
47%
Draw
15%
Away
36%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
47%
2.00
Double Chance
Home/Away
83%
1.13
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
95%
1.01
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
92%
1.02
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
95%
Over 2.5
92%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.12
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Bosnia & Herzegovina wins
0
Draws
0
Sweden wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
95%
Recent form
16%
95%
Attack
33%
66%
Defence
5%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
47%
Win probability
36%
Home and away record
Bosnia & Herzegovina
last 1 at home
1W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
3.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Sweden
last 2 away from home
0W
1D
1L
0.50
points a game
1.00
scored a game
3.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
2 matches.
| Bosnia & Herzegovina | Sweden | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 1/1 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/2 100% |
| 100% 1/1 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/2 50% |
| 100% 1/1 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/2 50% |
| 100% 1/1 | Both teams scored | 2/2 100% |
| 0% 0/1 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/2 0% |
| 0% 0/1 | Failed to score | 0/2 0% |
At half time
Bosnia & Herzegovina
from 1 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
100%
Level
0%
Behind
0%
Sweden
from 2 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
50%
Behind
50%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Sweden |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 10 |
| 2 |
Bosnia & Herzegovina |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +3 | 8 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Bosnia & Herzegovina face Sweden in UEFA Nations League. Bosnia & Herzegovina have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 1 games, scoring 3 and conceding 1 (3 points per game). Sweden have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 2 games, scoring 2 and conceding 6 (0.5 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 95% and Both Teams to Score at 92%.
With a 47% probability backing Bosnia & Herzegovina, home advantage and superior chance creation make Bosnia & Herzegovina to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 47% win probability for Bosnia & Herzegovina, a 15% chance of a draw, and a 36% probability for Sweden. Our top recommended betting pick is Bosnia & Herzegovina Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.12 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 92% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Friday, 02 Oct 2026 at 21:45 (East Africa Time) at Stadion Bilino Polje as part of the UEFA Nations League.
