FAW Championship · Friday, 02 Oct 2026
Denbigh Town
Home
2-4
Full time
Venue TBC
Holyhead Hotspur
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.59
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.12 - 0.98
Win probability
Home
59%
Draw
19%
Away
22%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
59%
1.59
Double Chance
Home/Draw
78%
1.21
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
74%
1.27
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
70%
1.34
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
74%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.1
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Denbigh Town wins
0
Draws
0
Holyhead Hotspur wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
6%
66%
Attack
26%
26%
Defence
26%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
59%
Win probability
22%
Home and away record
Denbigh Town
last 4 at home
1W
0D
3L
0.75
points a game
2.25
scored a game
2.50
conceded a game
Holyhead Hotspur
last 3 away from home
1W
0D
2L
1.00
points a game
0.67
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Denbigh Town | Holyhead Hotspur | |
|---|---|---|
| 89% 8/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/7 71% |
| 89% 8/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/7 71% |
| 56% 5/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/7 43% |
| 89% 8/9 | Both teams scored | 4/7 57% |
| 0% 0/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/7 0% |
| 11% 1/9 | Failed to score | 3/7 43% |
At half time
Denbigh Town
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
Holyhead Hotspur
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
43%
Level
29%
Behind
29%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 |
Holyhead Hotspur |
12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -3 | 14 |
| 12 |
Denbigh Town |
12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -2 | 13 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Denbigh Town face Holyhead Hotspur in FAW Championship. Denbigh Town have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 11 (0.8 points per game). Holyhead Hotspur have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 11 (0.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 74% and Both Teams to Score at 70%.
With a 59% probability backing Denbigh Town, home advantage and superior chance creation make Denbigh Town to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 59% win probability for Denbigh Town, a 19% chance of a draw, and a 22% probability for Holyhead Hotspur. Our top recommended betting pick is Denbigh Town Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.1 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 70% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Friday, 02 Oct 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the FAW Championship.
