FAW Championship · Friday, 02 Oct 2026
Caerau (Ely)
Home
2-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Afan Lido
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.92
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.52 - 1.58
Win probability
Home
34%
Draw
15%
Away
49%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
49%
1.92
Double Chance
Home/Away
83%
1.13
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
95%
1.01
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
92%
1.02
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
95%
Over 2.5
92%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.1
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Caerau (Ely) wins
0
Draws
0
Afan Lido wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
46%
80%
Attack
33%
20%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
34%
Win probability
49%
Home and away record
Caerau (Ely)
last 8 at home
4W
3D
1L
1.88
points a game
2.38
scored a game
1.63
conceded a game
Afan Lido
last 4 away from home
1W
0D
3L
0.75
points a game
1.25
scored a game
2.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Caerau (Ely) | Afan Lido | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 10/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/8 63% |
| 80% 8/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/8 63% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/8 50% |
| 80% 8/10 | Both teams scored | 4/8 50% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/8 50% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 1/8 13% |
At half time
Caerau (Ely)
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
Afan Lido
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
13%
Level
63%
Behind
25%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
Caerau (Ely) |
12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | +3 | 22 |
| 10 |
Afan Lido |
13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 15 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Caerau (Ely) face Afan Lido in FAW Championship. Caerau (Ely) have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 12 (1.8 points per game). Afan Lido have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 7 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 95% and Both Teams to Score at 92%.
Afan Lido's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 49% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Afan Lido to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 34% win probability for Caerau (Ely), a 15% chance of a draw, and a 49% probability for Afan Lido. Our top recommended betting pick is Afan Lido Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.1 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 92% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Friday, 02 Oct 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the FAW Championship.
