Eerste Divisie · Friday, 02 Oct 2026
Helmond Sport
Home
2-2
Full time
Lavans Stadion
Heracles
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.11
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.74 - 0.61
Win probability
Home
85%
Draw
9%
Away
5%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
85%
1.11
Double Chance
Home/Draw
94%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
81%
1.16
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
81%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.35
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Helmond Sport wins
0
Draws
0
Heracles wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
80%
73%
Attack
95%
40%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
85%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Helmond Sport
last 7 at home
3W
2D
2L
1.57
points a game
1.57
scored a game
1.29
conceded a game
Heracles
last 4 away from home
3W
0D
1L
2.25
points a game
3.25
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Helmond Sport | Heracles | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/9 89% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 8/9 89% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 7/9 78% |
| 80% 8/10 | Both teams scored | 7/9 78% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/9 11% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 1/9 11% |
At half time
Helmond Sport
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
50%
Behind
30%
Heracles
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
56%
Level
22%
Behind
22%
Match Preview & Analysis
Helmond Sport face Heracles in Eerste Divisie. Helmond Sport have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 9 (1.4 points per game). Heracles have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 17 and conceding 5 (2.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 81% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 85% probability backing Helmond Sport, home advantage and superior chance creation make Helmond Sport to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 85% win probability for Helmond Sport, a 9% chance of a draw, and a 5% probability for Heracles. Our top recommended betting pick is Helmond Sport Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.35 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 02 Oct 2026 at 19:00 (East Africa Time) at Lavans Stadion as part of the Eerste Divisie.
