Primera Nacional · Friday, 02 Oct 2026
Ferro Carril Oeste
Home
0-2
Full time
Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry
Deportivo Madryn
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.09
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.78 - 1.14
Win probability
Home
45%
Draw
26%
Away
29%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
45%
2.09
Double Chance
Home/Draw
71%
1.32
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.92
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Ferro Carril Oeste wins
0
Draws
0
Deportivo Madryn wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
60%
26%
Attack
53%
86%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
45%
Win probability
29%
Home and away record
Ferro Carril Oeste
last 8 at home
6W
1D
1L
2.38
points a game
1.38
scored a game
0.63
conceded a game
Deportivo Madryn
last 6 away from home
1W
3D
2L
1.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.17
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Ferro Carril Oeste | Deportivo Madryn | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 6/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 3/10 30% |
| 50% 5/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 6/10 60% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Ferro Carril Oeste
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
30%
Behind
30%
Deportivo Madryn
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
50%
Behind
30%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ferro Carril Oeste |
35 | 19 | 8 | 8 | +7 | 65 |
| 4 |
Deportivo Madryn |
35 | 15 | 12 | 8 | +20 | 57 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Ferro Carril Oeste face Deportivo Madryn in Primera Nacional. Ferro Carril Oeste have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 2 (1.8 points per game). Deportivo Madryn have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 4 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 45% probability backing Ferro Carril Oeste, home advantage and superior chance creation make Ferro Carril Oeste to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 45% win probability for Ferro Carril Oeste, a 26% chance of a draw, and a 29% probability for Deportivo Madryn. Our top recommended betting pick is Ferro Carril Oeste Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.92 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Friday, 02 Oct 2026 at 22:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry as part of the Primera Nacional.
