Friendlies · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026
Colombia
Home
0-1
Full time
Sports Illustrated Stadium
Paraguay
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.27
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.48 - 0.61
Win probability
Home
74%
Draw
21%
Away
5%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
74%
1.27
Double Chance
Home/Draw
95%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.36
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
81%
1.16
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
31%
Over 2.5
19%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.09
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Colombia wins
0
Draws
0
Paraguay wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
83%
Recent form
44%
41%
Attack
11%
91%
Defence
89%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
74%
Win probability
5%
Match Preview & Analysis
Colombia face Paraguay in Friendlies. Colombia have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 4 games, scoring 5 and conceding 1 (2.5 points per game). Paraguay have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 3 games, scoring 1 and conceding 1 (1.33 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 31% and Both Teams to Score at 19%.
With a 74% probability backing Colombia, home advantage and superior chance creation make Colombia to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 74% win probability for Colombia, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 5% probability for Paraguay. Our top recommended betting pick is Colombia Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.09 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 19%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 at 00:00 (East Africa Time) at Sports Illustrated Stadium as part of the Friendlies.
