Serie B · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026
Fortaleza EC
Home
1-1
Full time
Estadio Castelão
Nautico Recife
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Home/Draw
64%
1.47
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
65%
1.45
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
66%
1.42
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
65%
Over 2.5
66%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Fortaleza EC wins
0
Draws
0
Nautico Recife wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
73%
Recent form
46%
40%
Attack
46%
80%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Fortaleza EC
last 8 at home
5W
3D
0L
2.25
points a game
1.38
scored a game
0.63
conceded a game
Nautico Recife
last 7 away from home
0W
3D
4L
0.43
points a game
0.57
scored a game
1.57
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Fortaleza EC | Nautico Recife | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/10 10% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 40% 4/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Fortaleza EC
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
40%
Behind
10%
Nautico Recife
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
40%
Behind
40%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |
Fortaleza EC |
37 | 16 | 14 | 7 | +11 | 62 |
| 15 |
Nautico Recife |
37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | -9 | 46 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Fortaleza EC face Nautico Recife in Serie B. Fortaleza EC have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 3 (2.2 points per game). Nautico Recife have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 9 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 65% and Both Teams to Score at 66%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Fortaleza EC, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Nautico Recife. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 66% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 at 00:35 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Castelão as part of the Serie B.
