Liga de Expansión MX · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026
Tepatitlán
Home
3-1
Full time
Venue TBC
CDS Tampico Madero
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.49
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.16 - 1.89
Win probability
Home
19%
Draw
18%
Away
63%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
63%
1.49
Double Chance
Draw/Away
81%
1.16
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
75%
1.25
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
68%
1.38
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
75%
Over 2.5
68%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.05
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Tepatitlán wins
0
Draws
0
CDS Tampico Madero wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
46%
26%
Attack
53%
5%
Defence
33%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
19%
Win probability
63%
Home and away record
Tepatitlán
last 5 at home
1W
0D
4L
0.60
points a game
0.80
scored a game
2.60
conceded a game
CDS Tampico Madero
last 4 away from home
0W
0D
4L
0.00
points a game
0.25
scored a game
2.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Tepatitlán | CDS Tampico Madero | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 6/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 67% 6/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 67% 6/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 33% 3/9 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 0% 0/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 67% 6/9 | Failed to score | 5/10 50% |
At half time
Tepatitlán
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
22%
Level
33%
Behind
44%
CDS Tampico Madero
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
40%
Behind
30%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 |
CDS Tampico Madero |
10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 11 |
| 16 |
Tepatitlán |
9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | -23 | 3 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Tepatitlán face CDS Tampico Madero in Liga de Expansión MX. Tepatitlán have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 18 (0.6 points per game). CDS Tampico Madero have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 10 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 75% and Both Teams to Score at 68%.
CDS Tampico Madero's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 63% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for CDS Tampico Madero to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 19% win probability for Tepatitlán, a 18% chance of a draw, and a 63% probability for CDS Tampico Madero. Our top recommended betting pick is CDS Tampico Madero Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.05 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 68% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 at 01:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Liga de Expansión MX.
