Liga de Expansión MX · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026
CA La Paz
Home
1-2
Full time
Estadio Guaycura
Venados FC
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.09
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.76 - 0.59
Win probability
Home
86%
Draw
6%
Away
4%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
86%
1.09
Double Chance
Home/Draw
92%
1.02
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
88%
1.07
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
88%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.35
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
CA La Paz wins
0
Draws
0
Venados FC wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
73%
Recent form
40%
73%
Attack
93%
66%
Defence
26%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
86%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
CA La Paz
last 5 at home
3W
1D
1L
2.00
points a game
1.80
scored a game
0.60
conceded a game
Venados FC
last 5 away from home
0W
1D
4L
0.20
points a game
1.40
scored a game
3.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| CA La Paz | Venados FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/9 100% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 8/9 89% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 6/9 67% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 7/9 78% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/9 22% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 0/9 0% |
At half time
CA La Paz
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
56%
Level
33%
Behind
11%
Venados FC
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
22%
Level
33%
Behind
44%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |
CA La Paz |
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +12 | 20 |
| 5 |
Venados FC |
10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +4 | 16 |
Match Preview & Analysis
CA La Paz face Venados FC in Liga de Expansión MX. CA La Paz have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 5 (2.2 points per game). Venados FC have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 14 and conceding 11 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 88% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 86% probability backing CA La Paz, home advantage and superior chance creation make CA La Paz to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 86% win probability for CA La Paz, a 6% chance of a draw, and a 4% probability for Venados FC. Our top recommended betting pick is CA La Paz Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.35 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 at 03:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Guaycura as part of the Liga de Expansión MX.
