Limited match data: this preview is still updating and is not promoted in search until enough form, standings and prediction evidence is available.
K3 League · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026
Changwon City
Home
2-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Yangpyeong
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.36
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.36 - 0.72
Win probability
Home
69%
Draw
20%
Away
10%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
69%
1.36
Double Chance
Home/Draw
89%
1.06
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
63%
1.49
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
37%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.08
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Changwon City wins
0
Draws
0
Yangpyeong wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
6%
Recent form
6%
40%
Attack
46%
26%
Defence
6%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
69%
Win probability
10%
Home and away record
Changwon City
last 6 at home
1W
3D
2L
1.00
points a game
1.33
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Yangpyeong
last 4 away from home
1W
1D
2L
1.00
points a game
3.00
scored a game
2.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Changwon City | Yangpyeong | |
|---|---|---|
| 89% 8/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/9 100% |
| 67% 6/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 8/9 89% |
| 44% 4/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 7/9 78% |
| 78% 7/9 | Both teams scored | 8/9 89% |
| 11% 1/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/9 0% |
| 11% 1/9 | Failed to score | 1/9 11% |
At half time
Changwon City
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
22%
Level
22%
Behind
56%
Yangpyeong
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
22%
Behind
44%
Match Preview & Analysis
Changwon City face Yangpyeong in K3 League. Changwon City have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 11 (0.2 points per game). Yangpyeong have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 14 (0.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 37%.
With a 69% probability backing Changwon City, home advantage and superior chance creation make Changwon City to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 69% win probability for Changwon City, a 20% chance of a draw, and a 10% probability for Yangpyeong. Our top recommended betting pick is Changwon City Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.08 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 37%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 at 05:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the K3 League.
