J3 League · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026
Matsumoto Yamaga
Home
0-1
Full time
Sunpro Alwin
Gainare Tottori
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.14
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.76 - 1.29
Win probability
Home
44%
Draw
21%
Away
36%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
44%
2.14
Double Chance
Home/Away
80%
1.18
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
76%
1.24
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
74%
1.27
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
76%
Over 2.5
74%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.05
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Matsumoto Yamaga wins
0
Draws
0
Gainare Tottori wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
60%
33%
Attack
73%
60%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
44%
Win probability
36%
Home and away record
Matsumoto Yamaga
last 7 at home
2W
3D
2L
1.29
points a game
1.71
scored a game
1.57
conceded a game
Gainare Tottori
last 4 away from home
3W
0D
1L
2.25
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.75
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Matsumoto Yamaga | Gainare Tottori | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 6/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 50% 5/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Matsumoto Yamaga
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
60%
Behind
10%
Gainare Tottori
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
50%
Behind
30%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 |
Matsumoto Yamaga |
16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | -3 | 17 |
| 17 |
Gainare Tottori |
16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -15 | 15 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Matsumoto Yamaga face Gainare Tottori in J3 League. Matsumoto Yamaga have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 6 (1.2 points per game). Gainare Tottori have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 9 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 76% and Both Teams to Score at 74%.
With a 44% probability backing Matsumoto Yamaga, home advantage and superior chance creation make Matsumoto Yamaga to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 44% win probability for Matsumoto Yamaga, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 36% probability for Gainare Tottori. Our top recommended betting pick is Matsumoto Yamaga Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.05 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 74% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 at 05:00 (East Africa Time) at Sunpro Alwin as part of the J3 League.
