J2 League · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026
Albirex Niigata
Home
2-1
Full time
Denka Big Swan Stadium
Tokushima Vortis
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Home/Draw
73%
1.29
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.42
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
63%
1.49
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
34%
Over 2.5
37%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Albirex Niigata wins
0
Draws
0
Tokushima Vortis wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
46%
33%
Attack
20%
46%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Albirex Niigata
last 6 at home
4W
0D
2L
2.00
points a game
1.50
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Tokushima Vortis
last 6 away from home
1W
1D
4L
0.67
points a game
0.50
scored a game
2.17
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Albirex Niigata | Tokushima Vortis | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 6/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 2/10 20% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 6/10 60% |
| 40% 4/10 | Failed to score | 4/10 40% |
At half time
Albirex Niigata
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
50%
Behind
40%
Tokushima Vortis
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
50%
Behind
30%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Albirex Niigata |
16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 32 |
| 15 |
Tokushima Vortis |
16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | -5 | 17 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Albirex Niigata face Tokushima Vortis in J2 League. Albirex Niigata have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 8 (1.8 points per game). Tokushima Vortis have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 9 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 34% and Both Teams to Score at 37%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Albirex Niigata, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Tokushima Vortis. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 37%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 at 05:00 (East Africa Time) at Denka Big Swan Stadium as part of the J2 League.
