J2 League · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026
Oita Trinita
Home
2-1
Full time
Resonac Dome Oita
Montedio Yamagata
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.59
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.12 - 0.81
Win probability
Home
59%
Draw
28%
Away
14%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
59%
1.59
Double Chance
Home/Draw
87%
1.08
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.32
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
70%
1.34
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
29%
Over 2.5
30%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.93
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Oita Trinita wins
0
Draws
0
Montedio Yamagata wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
20%
13%
Attack
20%
66%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
59%
Win probability
14%
Home and away record
Oita Trinita
last 3 at home
1W
1D
1L
1.33
points a game
1.67
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Montedio Yamagata
last 5 away from home
3W
0D
2L
1.80
points a game
1.60
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Oita Trinita | Montedio Yamagata | |
|---|---|---|
| 56% 5/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 11% 1/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 11% 1/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/10 10% |
| 33% 3/9 | Both teams scored | 3/10 30% |
| 22% 2/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 67% 6/9 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Oita Trinita
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
11%
Level
56%
Behind
33%
Montedio Yamagata
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
50%
Behind
20%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 |
Oita Trinita |
16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | +5 | 22 |
| 14 |
Montedio Yamagata |
16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | -2 | 19 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Oita Trinita face Montedio Yamagata in J2 League. Oita Trinita have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 2 and conceding 5 (0.6 points per game). Montedio Yamagata have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 7 (0.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 29% and Both Teams to Score at 30%.
With a 59% probability backing Oita Trinita, home advantage and superior chance creation make Oita Trinita to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 59% win probability for Oita Trinita, a 28% chance of a draw, and a 14% probability for Montedio Yamagata. Our top recommended betting pick is Oita Trinita Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.93 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 30%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 at 08:00 (East Africa Time) at Resonac Dome Oita as part of the J2 League.
