Copa Chile · Sunday, 12 Jul 2026
Concepción
Home
2-0
Full time
Estadio Ester Roa
D. Puerto Montt
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Home/Draw
60%
1.57
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Concepción wins
0
Draws
1
D. Puerto Montt wins
29 Jun 2026
D. Puerto Montt
2 - 0
Concepción
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
95%
53%
Attack
66%
60%
Defence
89%
5%
Head-to-head
95%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Concepción
last 2 at home
2W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.50
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
D. Puerto Montt
last 1 away from home
1W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
5 matches.
| Concepción | D. Puerto Montt | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 5/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/3 100% |
| 40% 2/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/3 33% |
| 20% 1/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/3 0% |
| 60% 3/5 | Both teams scored | 1/3 33% |
| 20% 1/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/3 67% |
| 20% 1/5 | Failed to score | 0/3 0% |
At half time
Concepción
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
40%
Behind
20%
D. Puerto Montt
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
100%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
Concepción face D. Puerto Montt in Copa Chile. Concepción have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 6 (2 points per game). D. Puerto Montt have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 3 games, scoring 6 and conceding 1 (3 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Concepción won 0, D. Puerto Montt won 1 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Concepción, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for D. Puerto Montt. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 12 Jul 2026 at 21:30 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Ester Roa as part of the Copa Chile.
