III Liga - Group 3 · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026
Sparta Katowice
Home
1-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Warta Gorzów
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.36
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.36 - 0.76
Win probability
Home
69%
Draw
19%
Away
12%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
69%
1.36
Double Chance
Home/Draw
88%
1.07
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.12
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Sparta Katowice wins
0
Draws
0
Warta Gorzów wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
86%
Recent form
46%
73%
Attack
26%
86%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
69%
Win probability
12%
Home and away record
Sparta Katowice
last 8 at home
8W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.50
scored a game
0.63
conceded a game
Warta Gorzów
last 7 away from home
2W
2D
3L
1.14
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.14
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Sparta Katowice | Warta Gorzów | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 40% 4/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Sparta Katowice
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
20%
Behind
20%
Warta Gorzów
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
60%
Behind
30%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |
Sparta Katowice |
16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | +21 | 36 |
| 16 |
Warta Gorzów |
16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -19 | 14 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Sparta Katowice face Warta Gorzów in III Liga - Group 3. Sparta Katowice have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 2 (2.6 points per game). Warta Gorzów have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 7 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 69% probability backing Sparta Katowice, home advantage and superior chance creation make Sparta Katowice to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 69% win probability for Sparta Katowice, a 19% chance of a draw, and a 12% probability for Warta Gorzów. Our top recommended betting pick is Sparta Katowice Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.12 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 at 10:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the III Liga - Group 3.
