Asian Games · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026
Korea Republic U23
Home
1-0
Full time
Toyota Stadium
Japan U23
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.92
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.88 - 1.07
Win probability
Home
49%
Draw
25%
Away
26%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
49%
1.92
Double Chance
Home/Draw
74%
1.27
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.95
Avg goals
Get this match's pick on WhatsApp
Tap, hit send and the bot replies in seconds with the Korea Republic U23 v Japan U23 pick. One VIP pick a week is free.
Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Korea Republic U23 wins
0
Draws
0
Japan U23 wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
95%
Recent form
83%
83%
Attack
95%
75%
Defence
91%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
49%
Win probability
26%
Home and away record
Korea Republic U23
last 2 at home
2W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Japan U23
last 2 away from home
1W
1D
0L
2.00
points a game
4.00
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
4 matches.
| Korea Republic U23 | Japan U23 | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 4/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/4 100% |
| 75% 3/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/4 50% |
| 25% 1/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/4 25% |
| 75% 3/4 | Both teams scored | 1/4 25% |
| 25% 1/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/4 75% |
| 0% 0/4 | Failed to score | 0/4 0% |
At half time
Korea Republic U23
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
50%
Behind
0%
Japan U23
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
75%
Level
0%
Behind
25%
Match Preview & Analysis
Korea Republic U23 face Japan U23 in Asian Games. Korea Republic U23 have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 4 games, scoring 10 and conceding 3 (3 points per game). Japan U23 have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 4 games, scoring 13 and conceding 1 (2.5 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 49% probability backing Korea Republic U23, home advantage and superior chance creation make Korea Republic U23 to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 49% win probability for Korea Republic U23, a 25% chance of a draw, and a 26% probability for Japan U23. Our top recommended betting pick is Korea Republic U23 Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.95 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 at 10:30 (East Africa Time) at Toyota Stadium as part of the Asian Games.
