3. Division - Girone 3 · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026
Stord
Home
1-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Vard
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.92
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.47 - 1.58
Win probability
Home
32%
Draw
19%
Away
49%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
49%
1.92
Double Chance
Home/Away
81%
1.16
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
81%
1.16
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
78%
1.21
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
81%
Over 2.5
78%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.05
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Stord wins
0
Draws
0
Vard wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
46%
80%
Attack
95%
5%
Defence
20%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
32%
Win probability
49%
Home and away record
Stord
last 4 at home
0W
1D
3L
0.25
points a game
2.00
scored a game
3.75
conceded a game
Vard
last 5 away from home
1W
2D
2L
1.00
points a game
2.20
scored a game
2.20
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Stord | Vard | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 9/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 10/10 100% |
| 67% 6/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 67% 6/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 78% 7/9 | Both teams scored | 9/10 90% |
| 11% 1/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 11% 1/9 | Failed to score | 0/10 0% |
At half time
Stord
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
22%
Level
44%
Behind
33%
Vard
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
40%
Behind
40%
Match Preview & Analysis
Stord face Vard in 3. Division - Girone 3. Stord have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 15 (0.6 points per game). Vard have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 21 and conceding 12 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 81% and Both Teams to Score at 78%.
Vard's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 49% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Vard to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 32% win probability for Stord, a 19% chance of a draw, and a 49% probability for Vard. Our top recommended betting pick is Vard Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.05 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 78% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 at 11:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the 3. Division - Girone 3.
