Second League - Group 3 · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026
Metallurg Lipetsk
Home
2-0
Full time
Stadion Metallurg
Zenit Penza
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.54
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.16 - 0.79
Win probability
Home
61%
Draw
26%
Away
13%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
61%
1.54
Double Chance
Home/Draw
87%
1.08
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.42
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
67%
1.40
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
34%
Over 2.5
33%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.95
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Metallurg Lipetsk wins
0
Draws
0
Zenit Penza wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
46%
46%
Attack
33%
60%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
61%
Win probability
13%
Home and away record
Metallurg Lipetsk
last 5 at home
3W
1D
1L
2.00
points a game
1.20
scored a game
0.80
conceded a game
Zenit Penza
last 6 away from home
2W
1D
3L
1.17
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Metallurg Lipetsk | Zenit Penza | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 6/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 3/10 30% |
| 40% 4/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 5/10 50% |
At half time
Metallurg Lipetsk
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
40%
Behind
10%
Zenit Penza
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
50%
Behind
40%
Match Preview & Analysis
Metallurg Lipetsk face Zenit Penza in Second League - Group 3. Metallurg Lipetsk have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 6 (1.8 points per game). Zenit Penza have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 7 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 34% and Both Teams to Score at 33%.
With a 61% probability backing Metallurg Lipetsk, home advantage and superior chance creation make Metallurg Lipetsk to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 61% win probability for Metallurg Lipetsk, a 26% chance of a draw, and a 13% probability for Zenit Penza. Our top recommended betting pick is Metallurg Lipetsk Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.95 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 33%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 at 11:00 (East Africa Time) at Stadion Metallurg as part of the Second League - Group 3.
