Regionalliga - SudWest · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026
FSV Mainz 05 II
Home
0-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Freiburg II
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.62
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.23 - 1.78
Win probability
Home
22%
Draw
19%
Away
58%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
58%
1.62
Double Chance
Draw/Away
77%
1.22
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
73%
1.29
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
69%
1.36
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
73%
Over 2.5
69%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.01
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
FSV Mainz 05 II wins
0
Draws
0
Freiburg II wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
53%
26%
Attack
53%
20%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
22%
Win probability
58%
Home and away record
FSV Mainz 05 II
last 6 at home
3W
0D
3L
1.50
points a game
1.17
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Freiburg II
last 5 away from home
2W
3D
0L
1.80
points a game
1.60
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| FSV Mainz 05 II | Freiburg II | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 90% 9/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
FSV Mainz 05 II
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
22%
Behind
44%
Freiburg II
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
44%
Level
33%
Behind
22%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 |
Freiburg II |
14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | +6 | 21 |
| 15 |
FSV Mainz 05 II |
14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -12 | 14 |
Match Preview & Analysis
FSV Mainz 05 II face Freiburg II in Regionalliga - SudWest. FSV Mainz 05 II have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 12 (0.6 points per game). Freiburg II have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 7 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 73% and Both Teams to Score at 69%.
Freiburg II's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 58% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Freiburg II to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 22% win probability for FSV Mainz 05 II, a 19% chance of a draw, and a 58% probability for Freiburg II. Our top recommended betting pick is Freiburg II Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.01 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 69% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 at 12:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Regionalliga - SudWest.
