Derde Divisie · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026
Rijnvogels
Home
5-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Groene Ster
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.04
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.86 - 0.54
Win probability
Home
90%
Draw
4%
Away
2%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
90%
1.04
Double Chance
Home/Draw
94%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
85%
1.11
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
85%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.4
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Rijnvogels wins
0
Draws
0
Groene Ster wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
80%
Recent form
53%
95%
Attack
53%
73%
Defence
26%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
90%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Rijnvogels
last 5 at home
3W
1D
1L
2.00
points a game
2.60
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Groene Ster
last 3 away from home
0W
2D
1L
0.67
points a game
1.67
scored a game
2.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Rijnvogels | Groene Ster | |
|---|---|---|
| 63% 5/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/8 88% |
| 63% 5/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/8 75% |
| 63% 5/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/8 63% |
| 50% 4/8 | Both teams scored | 7/8 88% |
| 38% 3/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/8 13% |
| 25% 2/8 | Failed to score | 0/8 0% |
At half time
Rijnvogels
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
57%
Level
43%
Behind
0%
Groene Ster
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
20%
Behind
60%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 |
Rijnvogels |
12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +16 | 24 |
| 16 |
Groene Ster |
12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -17 | 9 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Rijnvogels face Groene Ster in Derde Divisie. Rijnvogels have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 15 and conceding 4 (2.4 points per game). Groene Ster have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 11 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 85% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 90% probability backing Rijnvogels, home advantage and superior chance creation make Rijnvogels to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 90% win probability for Rijnvogels, a 4% chance of a draw, and a 2% probability for Groene Ster. Our top recommended betting pick is Rijnvogels Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.4 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 at 12:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Derde Divisie.
