1. Division · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026
Smorgon
Home
2-0
Full time
Yunost Stadium
Osipovichy
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.09
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.78 - 1.12
Win probability
Home
45%
Draw
26%
Away
28%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
45%
2.09
Double Chance
Home/Draw
71%
1.32
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.9
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Smorgon wins
0
Draws
0
Osipovichy wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
26%
40%
Attack
26%
66%
Defence
26%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
45%
Win probability
28%
Home and away record
Smorgon
last 8 at home
4W
1D
3L
1.63
points a game
1.50
scored a game
1.13
conceded a game
Osipovichy
last 8 away from home
1W
2D
5L
0.63
points a game
0.75
scored a game
2.13
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Smorgon | Osipovichy | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 20% 2/10 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 50% 5/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Smorgon
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
40%
Behind
30%
Osipovichy
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
40%
Behind
40%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 |
Smorgon |
31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | -5 | 39 |
| 17 |
Osipovichy |
30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | -40 | 23 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Smorgon face Osipovichy in 1. Division. Smorgon have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 5 (1.4 points per game). Osipovichy have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 11 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 45% probability backing Smorgon, home advantage and superior chance creation make Smorgon to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 45% win probability for Smorgon, a 26% chance of a draw, and a 28% probability for Osipovichy. Our top recommended betting pick is Smorgon Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.9 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at Yunost Stadium as part of the 1. Division.
