III Liga - Group 4 · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Home
1-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Korona Kielce II
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.36
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.36 - 0.85
Win probability
Home
69%
Draw
13%
Away
16%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
69%
1.36
Double Chance
Home/Draw
82%
1.15
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
90%
1.04
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
81%
1.16
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
90%
Over 2.5
81%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.21
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Siarka Tarnobrzeg wins
0
Draws
0
Korona Kielce II wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
86%
Recent form
26%
60%
Attack
53%
80%
Defence
26%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
69%
Win probability
16%
Home and away record
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
last 6 at home
3W
0D
3L
1.50
points a game
1.67
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Korona Kielce II
last 5 away from home
0W
0D
5L
0.00
points a game
1.60
scored a game
4.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Siarka Tarnobrzeg | Korona Kielce II | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 8/10 80% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/10 0% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
67%
Level
22%
Behind
11%
Korona Kielce II
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
20%
Behind
50%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 |
Siarka Tarnobrzeg |
16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 21 |
| 15 |
Korona Kielce II |
16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 15 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Siarka Tarnobrzeg face Korona Kielce II in III Liga - Group 4. Siarka Tarnobrzeg have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 3 (2.6 points per game). Korona Kielce II have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 11 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 90% and Both Teams to Score at 81%.
With a 69% probability backing Siarka Tarnobrzeg, home advantage and superior chance creation make Siarka Tarnobrzeg to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 69% win probability for Siarka Tarnobrzeg, a 13% chance of a draw, and a 16% probability for Korona Kielce II. Our top recommended betting pick is Siarka Tarnobrzeg Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.21 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 81% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the III Liga - Group 4.
