Tweede Divisie · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026
Barendrecht
Home
3-2
Full time
Sports Centre de Bongerd
Sparta Rotterdam II
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.00
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.83 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
47%
Draw
23%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
47%
2.00
Double Chance
Home/Draw
70%
1.34
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.99
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Barendrecht wins
0
Draws
0
Sparta Rotterdam II wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
40%
40%
Attack
80%
66%
Defence
26%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
47%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Barendrecht
last 3 at home
0W
1D
2L
0.33
points a game
0.67
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Sparta Rotterdam II
last 6 away from home
1W
4D
1L
1.17
points a game
2.17
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Barendrecht | Sparta Rotterdam II | |
|---|---|---|
| 86% 6/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 10/10 100% |
| 43% 3/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 29% 2/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 71% 5/7 | Both teams scored | 10/10 100% |
| 14% 1/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/10 0% |
| 14% 1/7 | Failed to score | 0/10 0% |
At half time
Barendrecht
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
43%
Level
29%
Behind
29%
Sparta Rotterdam II
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
20%
Behind
40%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 |
Barendrecht |
11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 20 |
| 11 |
Sparta Rotterdam II |
11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | +4 | 13 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Barendrecht face Sparta Rotterdam II in Tweede Divisie. Barendrecht have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 5 (1.6 points per game). Sparta Rotterdam II have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 11 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 47% probability backing Barendrecht, home advantage and superior chance creation make Barendrecht to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 47% win probability for Barendrecht, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Sparta Rotterdam II. Our top recommended betting pick is Barendrecht Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.99 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at Sports Centre de Bongerd as part of the Tweede Divisie.
