Third League - Southwest · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026
Strumska Slava
Home
1-2
Full time
Hristo Radovanov Stadium
Septemvri Simitli
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.09
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.76 - 0.61
Win probability
Home
86%
Draw
8%
Away
5%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
86%
1.09
Double Chance
Home/Draw
94%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
83%
1.13
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
78%
1.21
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
83%
Over 2.5
22%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.37
Avg goals
Get this match's pick on WhatsApp
Tap, hit send and the bot replies in seconds with the Strumska Slava v Septemvri Simitli pick. One VIP pick a week is free.
Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Strumska Slava wins
0
Draws
0
Septemvri Simitli wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
13%
86%
Attack
46%
46%
Defence
13%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
86%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Strumska Slava
last 4 at home
4W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.50
scored a game
0.25
conceded a game
Septemvri Simitli
last 5 away from home
2W
1D
2L
1.40
points a game
1.80
scored a game
1.80
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Strumska Slava | Septemvri Simitli | |
|---|---|---|
| 88% 7/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/9 89% |
| 75% 6/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/9 56% |
| 25% 2/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/9 33% |
| 38% 3/8 | Both teams scored | 5/9 56% |
| 63% 5/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/9 33% |
| 13% 1/8 | Failed to score | 2/9 22% |
At half time
Strumska Slava
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
63%
Level
25%
Behind
13%
Septemvri Simitli
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
14%
Level
29%
Behind
57%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 |
Strumska Slava |
14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | +7 | 24 |
| 11 |
Septemvri Simitli |
15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | -3 | 18 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Strumska Slava face Septemvri Simitli in Third League - Southwest. Strumska Slava have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 13 and conceding 8 (1.8 points per game). Septemvri Simitli have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 13 (0.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 83% and Both Teams to Score at 22%.
With a 86% probability backing Strumska Slava, home advantage and superior chance creation make Strumska Slava to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 86% win probability for Strumska Slava, a 8% chance of a draw, and a 5% probability for Septemvri Simitli. Our top recommended betting pick is Strumska Slava Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.37 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 22%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at Hristo Radovanov Stadium as part of the Third League - Southwest.
