Third League - Southeast · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026
Maritsa Milevo
Home
4-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Sozopol
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.65
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.07 - 0.98
Win probability
Home
57%
Draw
21%
Away
22%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
57%
1.65
Double Chance
Home/Draw
78%
1.21
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
64%
1.47
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
64%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.05
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Maritsa Milevo wins
0
Draws
0
Sozopol wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
66%
66%
Attack
73%
40%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
57%
Win probability
22%
Home and away record
Maritsa Milevo
last 3 at home
2W
0D
1L
2.00
points a game
1.67
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Sozopol
last 4 away from home
1W
1D
2L
1.00
points a game
1.75
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Maritsa Milevo | Sozopol | |
|---|---|---|
| 75% 6/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/7 71% |
| 63% 5/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/7 57% |
| 38% 3/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/7 57% |
| 38% 3/8 | Both teams scored | 4/7 57% |
| 38% 3/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/7 14% |
| 25% 2/8 | Failed to score | 3/7 43% |
At half time
Maritsa Milevo
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
17%
Level
67%
Behind
17%
Sozopol
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
17%
Level
83%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
Maritsa Milevo |
13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | +17 | 31 |
| 8 |
Sozopol |
13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | +2 | 19 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Maritsa Milevo face Sozopol in Third League - Southeast. Maritsa Milevo have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 9 (1.8 points per game). Sozopol have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 5 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 64% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 57% probability backing Maritsa Milevo, home advantage and superior chance creation make Maritsa Milevo to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 57% win probability for Maritsa Milevo, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 22% probability for Sozopol. Our top recommended betting pick is Maritsa Milevo Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.05 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Third League - Southeast.
