Derde Divisie · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026
Purmersteijn
Home
4-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Harkemase Boys
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.96
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.85 - 1.14
Win probability
Home
48%
Draw
23%
Away
29%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
48%
1.96
Double Chance
Home/Draw
71%
1.32
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
63%
1.49
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
63%
1.49
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
63%
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.99
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Purmersteijn wins
0
Draws
0
Harkemase Boys wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
66%
60%
Attack
66%
53%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
48%
Win probability
29%
Home and away record
Purmersteijn
last 4 at home
3W
0D
1L
2.25
points a game
2.50
scored a game
1.75
conceded a game
Harkemase Boys
last 3 away from home
3W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
1.67
scored a game
0.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Purmersteijn | Harkemase Boys | |
|---|---|---|
| 88% 7/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/7 71% |
| 63% 5/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/7 57% |
| 38% 3/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/7 14% |
| 88% 7/8 | Both teams scored | 5/7 71% |
| 13% 1/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/7 14% |
| 0% 0/8 | Failed to score | 1/7 14% |
At half time
Purmersteijn
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
67%
Level
33%
Behind
0%
Harkemase Boys
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
67%
Level
33%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
Harkemase Boys |
12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +9 | 26 |
| 8 |
Purmersteijn |
12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +7 | 21 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Purmersteijn face Harkemase Boys in Derde Divisie. Purmersteijn have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 7 (2 points per game). Harkemase Boys have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 7 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 63% and Both Teams to Score at 63%.
With a 48% probability backing Purmersteijn, home advantage and superior chance creation make Purmersteijn to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 48% win probability for Purmersteijn, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 29% probability for Harkemase Boys. Our top recommended betting pick is Purmersteijn Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.99 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 63% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Derde Divisie.
