Derde Divisie · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026
Sportlust '46
Home
0-3
Full time
Venue TBC
Excelsior '31
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.96
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.52 - 1.56
Win probability
Home
34%
Draw
18%
Away
48%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
48%
1.96
Double Chance
Home/Away
82%
1.15
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
88%
1.07
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
84%
1.12
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
88%
Over 2.5
84%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.08
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Sportlust '46 wins
0
Draws
0
Excelsior '31 wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
66%
73%
Attack
60%
53%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
34%
Win probability
48%
Home and away record
Sportlust '46
last 5 at home
2W
2D
1L
1.60
points a game
1.60
scored a game
1.20
conceded a game
Excelsior '31
last 4 away from home
3W
0D
1L
2.25
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.25
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Sportlust '46 | Excelsior '31 | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 8/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/8 88% |
| 63% 5/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/8 63% |
| 50% 4/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/8 63% |
| 75% 6/8 | Both teams scored | 4/8 50% |
| 13% 1/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/8 50% |
| 13% 1/8 | Failed to score | 0/8 0% |
At half time
Sportlust '46
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
17%
Level
50%
Behind
33%
Excelsior '31
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
43%
Level
43%
Behind
14%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |
Excelsior '31 |
12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | +12 | 22 |
| 7 |
Sportlust '46 |
12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +3 | 22 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Sportlust '46 face Excelsior '31 in Derde Divisie. Sportlust '46 have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 7 (2 points per game). Excelsior '31 have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 7 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 88% and Both Teams to Score at 84%.
Excelsior '31's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 48% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Excelsior '31 to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 34% win probability for Sportlust '46, a 18% chance of a draw, and a 48% probability for Excelsior '31. Our top recommended betting pick is Excelsior '31 Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.08 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 84% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Derde Divisie.
