Ligue A · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026
Aigle Noir
Home
2-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Ngozi City
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.09
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.78 - 1.18
Win probability
Home
45%
Draw
24%
Away
31%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
45%
2.09
Double Chance
Home/Draw
69%
1.36
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.96
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Aigle Noir wins
0
Draws
0
Ngozi City wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
75%
33%
Attack
50%
46%
Defence
75%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
45%
Win probability
31%
Home and away record
Aigle Noir
last 3 at home
2W
0D
1L
2.00
points a game
1.67
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Ngozi City
last 1 away from home
0W
0D
1L
0.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Aigle Noir | Ngozi City | |
|---|---|---|
| 83% 5/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/4 75% |
| 50% 3/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/4 50% |
| 33% 2/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/4 0% |
| 67% 4/6 | Both teams scored | 2/4 50% |
| 0% 0/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/4 50% |
| 33% 2/6 | Failed to score | 0/4 0% |
At half time
Aigle Noir
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
20%
Behind
40%
Ngozi City
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
67%
Level
33%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
Aigle Noir face Ngozi City in Ligue A. Aigle Noir have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 8 (0.8 points per game). Ngozi City have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 4 games, scoring 6 and conceding 3 (2.25 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 45% probability backing Aigle Noir, home advantage and superior chance creation make Aigle Noir to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 45% win probability for Aigle Noir, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 31% probability for Ngozi City. Our top recommended betting pick is Aigle Noir Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.96 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Ligue A.
