III Liga - Group 4 · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026
Jarosław
Home
1-3
Full time
Venue TBC
Naprzód
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.65
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.07 - 1.09
Win probability
Home
57%
Draw
15%
Away
27%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
57%
1.65
Double Chance
Home/Away
84%
1.12
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
94%
1.01
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
90%
1.04
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
94%
Over 2.5
90%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.16
Avg goals
Get this match's pick on WhatsApp
Tap, hit send and the bot replies in seconds with the Jarosław v Naprzód pick. One VIP pick a week is free.
Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Jarosław wins
0
Draws
0
Naprzód wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
80%
Recent form
53%
95%
Attack
73%
53%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
57%
Win probability
27%
Home and away record
Jarosław
last 8 at home
5W
2D
1L
2.13
points a game
2.88
scored a game
1.38
conceded a game
Naprzód
last 8 away from home
3W
2D
3L
1.38
points a game
2.38
scored a game
2.13
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Jarosław | Naprzód | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 10/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 90% 9/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 80% 8/10 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 0% 0/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Jarosław
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
30%
Behind
30%
Naprzód
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
22%
Level
33%
Behind
44%
Match Preview & Analysis
Jarosław face Naprzód in III Liga - Group 4. Jarosław have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 17 and conceding 7 (2.4 points per game). Naprzód have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 8 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 94% and Both Teams to Score at 90%.
With a 57% probability backing Jarosław, home advantage and superior chance creation make Jarosław to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 57% win probability for Jarosław, a 15% chance of a draw, and a 27% probability for Naprzód. Our top recommended betting pick is Jarosław Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.16 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 90% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 at 13:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the III Liga - Group 4.
