1. Liga Promotion · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026
Basel II
Home
3-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Luzern II
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.54
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.16 - 0.96
Win probability
Home
61%
Draw
18%
Away
21%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
61%
1.54
Double Chance
Home/Draw
79%
1.19
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
79%
1.19
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
73%
1.29
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
79%
Over 2.5
73%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.12
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Basel II wins
0
Draws
0
Luzern II wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
26%
60%
Attack
33%
33%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
61%
Win probability
21%
Home and away record
Basel II
last 4 at home
1W
0D
3L
0.75
points a game
1.75
scored a game
1.75
conceded a game
Luzern II
last 5 away from home
2W
1D
2L
1.40
points a game
1.80
scored a game
1.40
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Basel II | Luzern II | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 9/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/8 63% |
| 100% 9/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/8 50% |
| 56% 5/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/8 38% |
| 78% 7/9 | Both teams scored | 3/8 38% |
| 11% 1/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/8 25% |
| 11% 1/9 | Failed to score | 3/8 38% |
At half time
Basel II
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
38%
Level
25%
Behind
38%
Luzern II
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
13%
Level
25%
Behind
63%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 |
Basel II |
14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | -2 | 19 |
| 16 |
Luzern II |
14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -12 | 11 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Basel II face Luzern II in 1. Liga Promotion. Basel II have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 10 (1.2 points per game). Luzern II have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 7 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 79% and Both Teams to Score at 73%.
With a 61% probability backing Basel II, home advantage and superior chance creation make Basel II to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 61% win probability for Basel II, a 18% chance of a draw, and a 21% probability for Luzern II. Our top recommended betting pick is Basel II Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.12 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 73% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 at 13:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the 1. Liga Promotion.
