Premier League · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026
GAP Connah S Quay FC
Home
1-0
Full time
Essity Stadium
Penybont
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.74
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2 - 0.98
Win probability
Home
54%
Draw
24%
Away
22%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
54%
1.74
Double Chance
Home/Draw
78%
1.21
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.98
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
GAP Connah S Quay FC wins
0
Draws
0
Penybont wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
95%
53%
Attack
80%
80%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
54%
Win probability
22%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Pen Penybont | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | +13 | 27 |
| 3 | GAP GAP Connah S Quay FC | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | +19 | 25 |
Match Preview & Analysis
GAP Connah S Quay FC face Penybont in Premier League. GAP Connah S Quay FC have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 3 (2 points per game). Penybont have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 4 (3 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 54% probability backing GAP Connah S Quay FC, home advantage and superior chance creation make GAP Connah S Quay FC to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 54% win probability for GAP Connah S Quay FC, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 22% probability for Penybont. Our top recommended betting pick is GAP Connah S Quay FC Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.98 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 at 13:30 (East Africa Time) at Essity Stadium as part of the Premier League.
