FAW Championship · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026
Cardiff Draconians
Home
1-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Newport City
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.40
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.04 - 1.97
Win probability
Home
14%
Draw
19%
Away
67%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
67%
1.40
Double Chance
Draw/Away
86%
1.09
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.01
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Cardiff Draconians wins
0
Draws
0
Newport City wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
40%
46%
Attack
60%
46%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
14%
Win probability
67%
Home and away record
Cardiff Draconians
last 3 at home
2W
0D
1L
2.00
points a game
2.33
scored a game
2.33
conceded a game
Newport City
last 2 away from home
2W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
4.00
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Cardiff Draconians | Newport City | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 3/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/6 67% |
| 60% 3/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/6 67% |
| 40% 2/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/6 50% |
| 60% 3/5 | Both teams scored | 2/6 33% |
| 20% 1/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/6 17% |
| 40% 2/5 | Failed to score | 3/6 50% |
At half time
Cardiff Draconians
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
80%
Behind
0%
Newport City
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 |
Newport City |
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | +4 | 12 |
| 14 |
Cardiff Draconians |
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 12 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Cardiff Draconians face Newport City in FAW Championship. Cardiff Draconians have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 8 (1.4 points per game). Newport City have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 5 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Newport City's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 67% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Newport City to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 14% win probability for Cardiff Draconians, a 19% chance of a draw, and a 67% probability for Newport City. Our top recommended betting pick is Newport City Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.01 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 at 13:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the FAW Championship.
