FAW Championship · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026
Pontypridd Town
Home
1-3
Full time
USW Sports Park
Aberystwyth Town
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.71
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.02 - 1.09
Win probability
Home
55%
Draw
14%
Away
27%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
55%
1.71
Double Chance
Home/Away
82%
1.15
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
94%
1.01
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
91%
1.03
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
94%
Over 2.5
91%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.11
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Pontypridd Town wins
0
Draws
0
Aberystwyth Town wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
80%
86%
Attack
93%
40%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
55%
Win probability
27%
Home and away record
Pontypridd Town
last 3 at home
2W
0D
1L
2.00
points a game
1.67
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Aberystwyth Town
last 2 away from home
2W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
4.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Pontypridd Town | Aberystwyth Town | |
|---|---|---|
| 83% 5/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/6 83% |
| 83% 5/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/6 83% |
| 67% 4/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/6 67% |
| 83% 5/6 | Both teams scored | 4/6 67% |
| 0% 0/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/6 33% |
| 17% 1/6 | Failed to score | 0/6 0% |
At half time
Pontypridd Town
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
Aberystwyth Town
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
67%
Level
33%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Pontypridd Town |
12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +11 | 24 |
| 2 |
Aberystwyth Town |
10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +14 | 22 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Pontypridd Town face Aberystwyth Town in FAW Championship. Pontypridd Town have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 13 and conceding 9 (2 points per game). Aberystwyth Town have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 14 and conceding 5 (2.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 94% and Both Teams to Score at 91%.
With a 55% probability backing Pontypridd Town, home advantage and superior chance creation make Pontypridd Town to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 55% win probability for Pontypridd Town, a 14% chance of a draw, and a 27% probability for Aberystwyth Town. Our top recommended betting pick is Pontypridd Town Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.11 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 91% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 at 13:30 (East Africa Time) at USW Sports Park as part of the FAW Championship.
