FAW Championship · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026
Swansea University
Home
3-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Caerphilly Athletic
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.01
Predicted score
3 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.93 - 0.5
Win probability
Home
93%
Draw
2%
Away
0%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
93%
1.01
Double Chance
Home/Draw
95%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
81%
1.16
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
79%
1.19
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
81%
Over 2.5
21%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.43
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Swansea University wins
0
Draws
0
Caerphilly Athletic wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
86%
Recent form
46%
95%
Attack
46%
66%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
93%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Swansea University
last 3 at home
2W
1D
0L
2.33
points a game
3.67
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Caerphilly Athletic
last 4 away from home
1W
1D
2L
1.00
points a game
0.75
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Swansea University | Caerphilly Athletic | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 6/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/7 71% |
| 100% 6/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/7 71% |
| 50% 3/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/7 29% |
| 33% 2/6 | Both teams scored | 3/7 43% |
| 67% 4/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/7 29% |
| 0% 0/6 | Failed to score | 3/7 43% |
At half time
Swansea University
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
83%
Level
0%
Behind
17%
Caerphilly Athletic
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
14%
Level
43%
Behind
43%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 |
Swansea University |
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +17 | 21 |
| 11 |
Caerphilly Athletic |
12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -6 | 14 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Swansea University face Caerphilly Athletic in FAW Championship. Swansea University have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 19 and conceding 5 (2.6 points per game). Caerphilly Athletic have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 9 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 81% and Both Teams to Score at 21%.
With a 93% probability backing Swansea University, home advantage and superior chance creation make Swansea University to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 3-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 93% win probability for Swansea University, a 2% chance of a draw, and a 0% probability for Caerphilly Athletic. Our top recommended betting pick is Swansea University Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 3 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.43 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 21%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 at 13:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the FAW Championship.
