Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026
Mercadal
Home
1-3
Full time
Venue TBC
Constància
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 2.00
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.2 - 1.53
Win probability
Home
21%
Draw
32%
Away
47%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
47%
2.00
Double Chance
Draw/Away
79%
1.19
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
74%
1.27
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
68%
1.38
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
26%
Over 2.5
32%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.73
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Mercadal wins
0
Draws
0
Constància wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
44%
Recent form
44%
44%
Attack
44%
66%
Defence
77%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
21%
Win probability
47%
Home and away record
Mercadal
last 2 at home
0W
1D
1L
0.50
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Constància
last 2 away from home
0W
1D
1L
0.50
points a game
0.50
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
3 matches.
| Mercadal | Constància | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 3/3 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/3 67% |
| 33% 1/3 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/3 33% |
| 0% 0/3 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/3 0% |
| 67% 2/3 | Both teams scored | 1/3 33% |
| 33% 1/3 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/3 33% |
| 0% 0/3 | Failed to score | 1/3 33% |
At half time
Mercadal
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
0%
Behind
67%
Constància
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
67%
Level
33%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
Mercadal face Constància in Tercera División RFEF - Group 11. Mercadal have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 3 games, scoring 4 and conceding 3 (1.33 points per game). Constància have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 3 games, scoring 4 and conceding 2 (1.33 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 26% and Both Teams to Score at 32%.
Constància's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 47% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Constància to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 21% win probability for Mercadal, a 32% chance of a draw, and a 47% probability for Constància. Our top recommended betting pick is Constància Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.73 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 32%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 at 13:45 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11.
